I’ve read so much that it has actually begun to make my head spin. So I went totally off line and began to hypothesize on my own. Many of your own thoughts have woven their way into my ideas, but be patient. My thoughts will circle back to the beginning and to some other aspect of my hypothesis.
First my focus is on two items (as I think them to be) the robbery of Sir Felkar Uldseth and the murder of Sir Felkar Uldseth (going forth will be known as Sir F because well Felkar is too much to keep typing).
We keep asking why was Sir Blors was looking for Felkar on Larane 11. Here are my thoughts - it has something to do with the money. We know Sir F was the next in line for the Barony (and just a few weeks before he was 2nd in line to inherit…hmmmm

) Sir B and Sir F are very friendly as observed the first night at the Bridgetower. I think it quite possible Sir B was helping Sir F to achieve his goal. But first we have to ask what was the Baron of Quste doing in Golotha with so much ££? This stems from some other thoughts I have been having about the mission which I have been meaning to open a new thread on. (hopefully will soon

). In 728 the Baron of Quste had already sworn his loyalty to the Earl of Tormau. In the rebellion against King Arren II, Lord Tormau also had the Morgathians and the Agrikans on his side. I wonder what the M and A think of the Baron groveling to the King for his miserable little life after Tormau’s defeat? Perhaps the £20 was what he paid on some sort of schedule to them to save his life? (Thus leading to Dave’s blackmail suspicions.)
If Sir F killed the cousin unknown who was next in line to inherit, it would seem an easy task to see the Baron killed. How do you do this so as not to have his blood directly on your hands? Give cause for the Morgathians and Agrikans to do the job by stealing the money meant for them. As GM said:
Armor is noisy and difficult to put on, … He may not have wanted to alert the guards and so did not don his armor ….
Perhaps it wasn't just the guards he didn't want to disturb. This would explain:
(1) Why Sir Felkar was out that night with the ££ (more comments below)
(2) Why the Baron fled town so quickly - being in fear of the psychotic M’s & frat boy A’s
(3) Why the Baron couldn’t give a rat’s tuckus what happened to Sir F’s body – being betrayed by him and all
(4) Why Sir B was reticent to seek Sir F’s body - being involved and all
(5) Why Sir B did not report the death of Sir F to Sir Tovar - again being involved and all
Further comments on (1) Sir F would not want to be around when the Morgathians come to collect and find there is nothing to collect. Where would he go? His dear friend Sir B has a nice, well-secured castle just outside Golotha proper. Once the M’s punish the Baron, Sir F is able to claim the barony. On that particular evening he may have planned a drop to deliver the ££ to Sir B. Compensation for his help and protection. Sir B could also like the idea of having Sir F in his pocket once he is the new Baron of Quste.
We know Sir F was robbed by Mogger and friends. Who organized it? Since there was a large sum expected to be gained then the most likely candidate is Jarop, being the guild master of the LK. How did he know that Felkar would be out that particular night with the money? I have not been able to answer this. One thought is Jarop learned from his Morgathian high priest brother. Seems unlikely unless they were hanging out, chatting about old time and new times, a few bottles of blood wine later and he lets it slip. I would think brother or no brother he would be in deep doo doo for stealing from the Morgathians.
Now the murder of Sir Felkar Uldseth. Many times it has been brought up that is seemed too convenient that the murder occurred right after the robbery. I now have to agree. Due to the similarities of the murder to the murder of Pelisa of Thoff, it seems they have a bit to do with the song and the Pallisers. He seems to have followed us from Coranan and kept close watch on us to know who we know. How could the murderer have heard of the robbery? Frankly from anyone who was involved or had knowledge of; Mogger, Mogger friends, Jarop, etc. ... It could be anyone. We don’t know who knew about the robbery prior to it occurring. (What this has to do with the song/Pallisers I still have no idea and maybe a new thread needs to be started ...)